Manifest
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Manifest

Smarter calls on short-window prediction markets.

  • BTC · 15 min live
  • ETH · 15 min soon
  • 30-min markets soon
See plans Join the Discord (opens in a new tab)

The Discord is free to join. Plans start at $19.99 a month.

Signals Calls in Discord Live calls · alerts · post-mortems · stats Pro Your parlays, tracked My Parlays · cash-out alerts · live legs

Signals · Discord and dashboard

One considered call per window

Each call locks in the price, our chance and the value, then updates in place to WON or LOST when the window settles.

  • A live channel that is always current, with a chart
  • Under-pressure and take-profit alerts
  • A post-mortem for every window without a call
  • A public stats channel: wins and losses, units, streaks
  • The dashboard: Live, Calls and Stats

Call: UP @ 58¢

KXBTC15M · 2:15 PM window · target $61,240.00

Our P 71% · Edge +5.2 pts · Pays ≈ $0.69 per $1

Now: UP 64% · bid 61¢ · on track

Under pressure: UP call @ 58¢

Now 48% · bid 52¢ · 6:12 left

KXBTC15M · 2:15 PM window · target $61,240.00

No call · 2:00 PM window

BTC finished DOWN (−$84.10 vs target)

Why no call: too expensive · DOWN was likely, but priced at 98¢

Skipped right · nothing was left to win at that price

Illustrative examples of the Discord cards.

Pro · My Parlays

Your parlays, tracked live

Connect a read-only Kalshi key and follow every parlay you hold: what it is worth now, each leg as its game plays, and a nudge when one needs you.

  • My Parlays with a read-only Kalshi key: nothing can be bought, sold or moved with it
  • Cash-out and slipping alerts, in the app or your own Discord
  • Live legs: every leg and its game clock as it happens
Example parlays on the My Parlays screen
ParlayStatusWorth nowMultipleGame
de Minaur · Zverev +3 Cash out $18.40of $10.00 1.84× Set 3
Alcaraz · Mensik +10 Up $11.20of $10.00 1.12× Set 2
Blanch · Andrade +13 Slipping $7.90of $10.00 0.79× Today 6:30 PM
Sinner · Fritz +4 Even $10.10of $10.00 1.01× Tomorrow
An illustrative view of My Parlays.

How it works

Value, not favourites

  1. Watches

    Live prices from three exchanges every second, set against Kalshi's odds.

  2. Waits for value

    Calls only when its chance beats the price after fees, never just the 90¢ favourite.

  3. Calls once

    At most one locked call per window, then follows it until it settles.

Honest by design

Every window, on the record

  • Every call logged

    Wins and losses are posted in public and never deleted.

  • Every miss explained

    Windows without a call get a post-mortem saying why.

  • Track record soon

    Published once there is enough clean data. No cherry-picked screenshots.

Plans

Two ways in

Monthly, through Whop. Cancel anytime.

Signals

$19.99 / month

The calls, live

  • Live calls in Discord as they lock in
  • The live channel and its chart
  • Under-pressure and take-profit alerts
  • A post-mortem for every window without a call
  • The public stats channel
  • The dashboard: Live, Calls and Stats
Get Signals (opens in a new tab)

Pro

Most complete

$29.99 / month

Signals, plus your parlays

  • Everything in Signals
  • My Parlays: follow your own parlays with a read-only Kalshi key
  • Cash-out and slipping alerts, in the app or your own Discord
  • Live legs: every leg and its game clock as it happens
Get Pro (opens in a new tab)

Not ready yet? The Discord is free to join. Already have a plan? Log in with Discord.

Join the Discord (opens in a new tab) Log in

FAQ

Questions

Is this financial advice?

No. These are automated predictions, and they can be wrong.

Which markets?

Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin markets today, with more 15- and 30-minute markets coming.

What's the difference between Signals and Pro?

Signals is the calls: live calls, alerts, post-mortems and stats in Discord, plus Live, Calls and Stats on the dashboard. Pro adds My Parlays: your own Kalshi parlays, read with a read-only key, with cash-out and slipping alerts and every leg live.

Do I need a Kalshi account?

Only to trade, or to track your own parlays on Pro. Following the calls needs only Discord.

How do I cancel?

Anytime from your Whop account.

Is it guaranteed?

No. Every result is public, wins and losses alike.